5 ms·
No, but I don't think anyone thinks they are practically capped out in terms of economies of scale and engineering refinement. Certainly not with the promise of
by AtlasBarfed 6y ago
No, but I don't think anyone thinks they are practically capped out in terms of economies of scale and engineering refinement. Certainly not with the promise of perovskites.
I'd guess 8% MINIMUM for another five years. Really is quite the blocker for any new nuclear / hydrogen / biofuel / natural gas planning aside from load levelling.
Is BYD any cheaper / better than LFP?
- tuatoru 6y agoBYD is the name of the manufacturer - a big e-car maker in China.[1] Their battery technology is lithium iron phosphate. To gp's objection, multilayer cells (possibly silicon-perovskite, possibly others) reduce installation cost and real estate cost. Double the power per unit area, halve the installation and land requirement. Other overhead costs like design and regulatory approval can be reduced with standardization. Costs can't continue going down indefinitely, but I agree that we are not near a floor. I'd expect another 20 years of gradually tapering reductions. As you say, not good for any kind of thermal generation, with its attendant high operation and maintenance costs. It also makes fusion power generation research pointless. 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BYD_Company https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BYD_Company
- AtlasBarfed 6y agoI was a huge LFTR stan a couple years ago. Solar/Wind has shut me up about that. I still think we should research it long-term... But (HOT TAKE) redirecting any large scale funding to hydrogen, nuclear, geothermal, or hydro in the next ten years is just slowing down progress on global warming when we are, by all accounts, in a VERY critical time for mitigating the worst case.