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> The only interpretation I see is that the author has a set of sources they trust that produce "analysis" that the author sees as reliable. Their opponent in t
by beagle3 6y ago
> The only interpretation I see is that the author has a set of sources they trust that produce "analysis" that the author sees as reliable. Their opponent in the argument has exactly the same same thing but from sources that the author does not trust. That certainly is a pickle.
I don't personally know him and am not speaking for him, of course, but my understanding (based on following him for years) is repeatable analysis. Start e.g. from publicly available CDC data, and show that your results follow from them, or at the very least do not contradict them.
Much of the time, if you try to do that, it is either impossible or a lot of unspecified assumption (some of which are often ridiculous) come to light.
And to his credit, he has published his own covid models with data sources before; I started following him when he was no. 5 or so on the Netflix prize leaderboard, and he was doing it publicly (which of course meant everyone could include his ideas in their model, which promptly kicked him out of the top ten shortly after).
- uberman 6y agoThat is cool. As an interesting coincidence, I also participated in the Netflix Prize contest, though I was never a contender. I did learn a lot about efficiently processing large datasets though. Good times. Thinking back on things, by any chance was he "The guy on a team of just him with a crappy laptop that blogged about his submissions and thought process?" If so, I must admit that I do think he started many people (me included) on the right path by introducing how to actually think about and start making progress on the contest.
- beagle3 6y agoLikely him. He signs as "simon funk" though that's a pseudonym. If this post looks familiar[0], that's him. And this is the post that got him added to my blog roll (And 14 years later, he is still there) [0] https://sifter.org/simon/journal/20061211.html https://sifter.org/simon/journal/20061211.html