As am I, but that does not make the risk assessment I put above wrong. They have their reasons for that metric. That too doesn't make (dead/recovered) wrong.

As am I, but that does not make the risk assessment I put above wrong. They have their reasons for that metric. That too doesn't make (dead/recovered) wrong. There are dead people in my life, with whom I had this discussion. "Calculated risk" = optimistic. The IFR combines futures with actual and does not represent an outcome based risk assessment. Nature however, will definitely take you, or any of us, to an outcome, should we become infected.