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If you know a coin is biased towards heads, the most likely outcome is all heads. So you'd start by guessing all heads, then guess all combinations with one hea
by Taek 6y ago
If you know a coin is biased towards heads, the most likely outcome is all heads. So you'd start by guessing all heads, then guess all combinations with one head, all combinations with 2 heads, etc
If you don't know the bias you can start with all heads, then do all tails, etc.
Basically, anything you know about a bias allows you to sort the possible outcomes by how likely they are in your model and then try them in order from most likely to least likely.