- they're specifically picking a prior made of only the skeptical predictions of famous people about some technology that turned out to be wrong. - they aren't

- they're specifically picking a prior made of only the skeptical predictions of famous people about some technology that turned out to be wrong. - they aren't updating the prior with new information, they're just pointing it out as sufficient on its own Using the two points above anyone can make a bad argument about anything - just pick the data points that fit your narrative, state that narrative as a conclusion and don't update it when presented with other facts.