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Two thoughts on why Tesla's ceiling should not be considered simply a reasonable marketshare of the global car market. (1) I think you could have constructed a
by mulcahey 6y ago
Two thoughts on why Tesla's ceiling should not be considered simply a reasonable marketshare of the global car market.
(1) I think you could have constructed a similar argument in ~2010 regarding the iPhone. Apple indeed did not capture a dominant market share by volume, but take the lion's share of the profits today -- converting many mid-level consumers to loyal customers of luxury goods.[1] Second to that, they are much more vertically integrated than the competition where the software, the hardware, and media are generally made by different companies. This allows them to extract more revenue from each customer. In my opinion Tesla's vehicles are well positioned to be the iPhone of cars where they widely expand the size of their addressable market.
(2) Elon has said a few times that Tesla is best though of as a collection of a about a dozen different startups as opposed to simply a new entry into the traditional auto market.[2] These "startups" would include solar, insurance, self driving, battery tech, utility scale energy storage, dealership/service network, etc.
[1] https://seekingalpha.com/article/420201-what-apple-and-starbucks-share-luxury-status-and-premium-pricing https://seekingalpha.com/article/420201-what-apple-and-starb...
[2] https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1274544800558014464?s=20 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1274544800558014464?s=20
- magicmouse 6y agoApple has a software ecosystem that makes their phones valuable. If it were running the same Android OS as Samsung, Apple would be in deep doodo, because the Samsung Galaxy Note 20 is an incredible phone, and easily the match of the iPhone, and i bought a Note 20 this year from Google for about $400. It is the software offerings that make the iphone great. Elon's software is self driving tech, but he foolishly is refusing to add Lidar to his cars, when all the other companies know that Lidar is essential for vision impaired driving conditions. Once he loses the self-driving race, that is when Tesla will deflate.