2 main comments: 1) your example of 1% death rate would be detected very early in a rollout, and would represent something akin to a 10000x worse vaccine outcom

2 main comments: 1) your example of 1% death rate would be detected very early in a rollout, and would represent something akin to a 10000x worse vaccine outcome that has ever been experienced. The worst vaccine ever is generally regarded as causing 1 in 10,000 narcolepsy. 2) the word "approved" is misleading. Of you change this to say "banned" or "not banned", this reads very differently. The requirement to ban everyone from taking a vaccine in order to mitigate some extreme long tail event and maintain public confidence is hard to justify on utilitarian grounds, but pretty much any other ethical framework.