4 ms·p(e|c) = p(c|e)*p(e)/p(c) = .995*p(e)/p(c) ~ .3/.75 = .4by klochner 15y agop(e|c) = p(c|e)*p(e)/p(c) = .995*p(e)/p(c) ~ .3/.75 = .4yequalsx 15y agoHow do you know what values p(e) and p(c) are?klochner 15y agoYou've just learned the dirty secret of financial modeling - it's a lot of math and statistics built on top of on possibly arbitrary guesses of prior probabilities.hugh3 15y agoFun fact: the average VW Beetle contains twelve social media experts.joshu 15y agoYou win one hundred posteriors.