5 ms·
The scientific method enables us to rigorously build models. But it takes effort, so the model only expands in the directions where a person chooses to the do
by monkeycantype 6y ago
The scientific method enables us to rigorously build models.
But it takes effort, so the model only expands in the directions where a person chooses to the do that work.
Scientific models are a communal human artefact, flawed with the bias and inattention of those that built them.
The is a lot we know about the world, from history, from our experience, that we are not able to express with
enough rigor to include them in a scientific model.
So we can be confident that our scientific understanding of any new compound, will not gives us a complete understanding of the impact of that compound in the world. From history we have a partial map of our ignorance. We know from past experience that there are realms of unknown - ecological effects, decomposition products, birth defects, health impacts - associated with new products. We know there is a very big difference between safe and no known adverse impacts
Rather than an alternative to science, we need a more vigorous meta model, better appreciation of where the model ends, and a better model for how we should act given our ignorance. I don't think we lack the ability to do this, it's a matter of will and power.
- whatshisface 6y ago>The is a lot we know about the world, from history, from our experience, that we are not able to express with enough rigor to include them in a scientific model. Of course, gut feeling and "pontification-based" methods still have to prove themselves effective. You would need to have one group pontificate about the future using your meta-level thinking, and another group just focus on the concrete-level, and demonstrate that the proposed meta-model would improve the situation. A system to figure out what scientific discoveries were going to be made before they are made would be nice, but you can't just pick an oracle and say you've found it.