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As with many things, this goes both ways. Some people are overconfident and need to practice humility. Other people are underconfident and need to take more ris

As with many things, this goes both ways. Some people are overconfident and need to practice humility. Other people are underconfident and need to take more risks. The trick is figuring which group you're in on any given day.

systemvoltage 6y ago
> this goes both ways. No. It goes one way more than the other. Did you read the article? Statistics the author references show that people are more overconfident than underconfident.
- watwut 6y ago
  People who start with unsupported conviction that they are good in tech, interact with tech a lot more. They over time really learn a lot and meantime end up blaming everything except themselves. But, people who start with conviction that they are not technical kind of person, never learn and just give up. Drivers who assume themselves to be bad drivers tend to drive very little or not at all and never improve. They are parallelized by fear, their assumption they cant do anything rubs on others who are in car with them who then start to give them advice - making situation worst. I have seen that dynamic a lot of times, because in my country it is quite frequent with women drivers. Not most women or something, but there is certain kind of woman who assumes own incapability and it is self-fullfiling prophecy.
- username90 6y ago
  90% thinking they are above average could still mean that almost 50% underestimates themselves. All it proves is that people who are less than mediocre rarely realizes it.
- odessacubbage 6y ago
  our sense of averages is also greatly skewed. if you are a degree bearing professional in a competitive field, the amount of time you spend measuring yourself against the 50th percentile and below is in all likelihood close to zero. you see this in review scores as well. there is a strong cultural bias towards the upper third, an album/ movie or game is often considered a critical failure if it scores a 7 or below even though that would, broadly speaking, mean it is better than average.
  - BlueTemplar 6y ago
    Average ≠ Mean (though not always). And average (or is that median?) score is pretty much 7/10 : https://www.polygon.com/2014/10/28/7083373/look-at-this-chart-of-average-metacritic-scores-what-happened-in-2007 https://www.polygon.com/2014/10/28/7083373/look-at-this-char...
lwhalen 6y ago
the days that I keep my gratitude higher than my expectations... Well, I have really good days

systemvoltage 6y ago

> this goes both ways. No. It goes one way more than the other. Did you read the article? Statistics the author references show that people are more overconfident than underconfident.

watwut 6y ago
People who start with unsupported conviction that they are good in tech, interact with tech a lot more. They over time really learn a lot and meantime end up blaming everything except themselves. But, people who start with conviction that they are not technical kind of person, never learn and just give up. Drivers who assume themselves to be bad drivers tend to drive very little or not at all and never improve. They are parallelized by fear, their assumption they cant do anything rubs on others who are in car with them who then start to give them advice - making situation worst. I have seen that dynamic a lot of times, because in my country it is quite frequent with women drivers. Not most women or something, but there is certain kind of woman who assumes own incapability and it is self-fullfiling prophecy.
username90 6y ago
90% thinking they are above average could still mean that almost 50% underestimates themselves. All it proves is that people who are less than mediocre rarely realizes it.
odessacubbage 6y ago
our sense of averages is also greatly skewed. if you are a degree bearing professional in a competitive field, the amount of time you spend measuring yourself against the 50th percentile and below is in all likelihood close to zero. you see this in review scores as well. there is a strong cultural bias towards the upper third, an album/ movie or game is often considered a critical failure if it scores a 7 or below even though that would, broadly speaking, mean it is better than average.
- BlueTemplar 6y ago
  Average ≠ Mean (though not always). And average (or is that median?) score is pretty much 7/10 : https://www.polygon.com/2014/10/28/7083373/look-at-this-chart-of-average-metacritic-scores-what-happened-in-2007 https://www.polygon.com/2014/10/28/7083373/look-at-this-char...

lwhalen 6y ago

the days that I keep my gratitude higher than my expectations... Well, I have really good days