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The model is simply “computing”. After smartphones we have smart watches (the continual minimization of mobile computing) and ar/vr (immersive computing). The

The model is simply “computing”. After smartphones we have smart watches (the continual minimization of mobile computing) and ar/vr (immersive computing). The main driver has always been mobility and minaturization. From mainframes, desktops, laptops, tablets and smartphones. Also we had ethernet to wifi and cellular. Kevin Kelly had a great talk about screens being pervasive almost a decade ago. The leap from bulky crt to flatscreen resulted in an increasing number of displays to display all the data we’re receiving. Not only that, but because the displays have become bigger there is more data to be displayed. Ar/Vr seems like the next thing since the screen is (paradoxically) even larger! IoT is interesting because it is a new form of computing (let me know if you think otherwise) as it’s not necessarily meant directly for human-computer interaction, instead it’s machine-machine computing. Voice is another interesting aspect since this type of computing does not utilize the traditional screen. Apple’s upcoming smart glasses seem like the next logical step (minaturization of mobile computing with an expanding immersive display)

hinkley 6y ago
Personal area networking is certain to be a thing. Phones can’t get much bigger, but we want more real estate for interfacing. The glasses certainly have the most long term potential, but imagine the phone becoming more about wireless radio and less time in hand. The watch loses some functionality to become smaller and have longer battery life. Maybe you move heart rate or blood sugar monitoring to a separate device, like a ring, and people can cherry pick which ones they like. Or the phone merges into the watch and goes away entirely, some of it into the band. Apple had a patent on incorporating batteries into the watch band, but they never did anything with that. Pity.
mackrevinack 6y ago
if somebody could deliver some actual decent battery improvements instead of just making promises it would help most of what you mentioned. I've never really got into the iot thing (apart from two smart bulbs) because of how many batteries you would go through in a year if you had a house full of iot devices. its crazy to think of everyone going through the same amount of batteries each year, especially those coin cell ones that can't be recycled

hinkley 6y ago

Personal area networking is certain to be a thing. Phones can’t get much bigger, but we want more real estate for interfacing. The glasses certainly have the most long term potential, but imagine the phone becoming more about wireless radio and less time in hand. The watch loses some functionality to become smaller and have longer battery life. Maybe you move heart rate or blood sugar monitoring to a separate device, like a ring, and people can cherry pick which ones they like. Or the phone merges into the watch and goes away entirely, some of it into the band. Apple had a patent on incorporating batteries into the watch band, but they never did anything with that. Pity.

mackrevinack 6y ago

if somebody could deliver some actual decent battery improvements instead of just making promises it would help most of what you mentioned. I've never really got into the iot thing (apart from two smart bulbs) because of how many batteries you would go through in a year if you had a house full of iot devices. its crazy to think of everyone going through the same amount of batteries each year, especially those coin cell ones that can't be recycled