I was mostly just trying to show why the "it happened twice" makes some sense, (though, it is somewhat stronger than "it happened both times". I just don't know

I was mostly just trying to show why the "it happened twice" makes some sense, (though, it is somewhat stronger than "it happened both times". I just don't know how much stronger. I guess that was the sort of thing I was wondering-out-loud about) and also saying some thoughts that that brought to my mind. But yes, "it working at any time if you wait 5 years" would be relevant. I guess I was trying to think about, "what would the chances be of that happening to have been the case purely by chance?". Like, in order to look at how strongly it suggests it will be the same in the future.