3 ms·

> Saying that you are not being overconfident with that level of confidence seems like a red flag. Were it just me, I'd agree with you, however it is the data

• JamisonM 6y ago
  In the spirit of open discussion I would like to raise to you some salient facts. The article in question does not address the fact that I raised, and also you shouldn't make claims the authors are not making: "Our findings, based on comprehensive surveillance and contact-tracing data from the Indian states of Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, provide insight into the epidemiology of COVID-19 in resource-limited populations." Specifically: "Whereas incidence declined steadily at ages older than 30 to 39 years in the two Indian states, incidence increased at ages of ≥65 years in the United States." So their finding might be applicable if the general trends matched but the study specifically says they don't, in the way that I generally pointed towards. Also the study in question points to "superspreading individuals" but not "superspreading events" and that difference is significant. A "superspreader" who attends an event that can cause superspreading event, but a superspreader that goes to many places and meets just a few people at those places can super-spread! It's different! The study does NOT support your implied claim that asymptomatic spreaders can't be superspreaders.