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>> we would have to assume that any group with a high arrest rate must be a group that commits many crimes That doesn’t hold - there could be more police near
by CraigJPerry 6y ago
>> we would have to assume that any group with a high arrest rate must be a group that commits many crimes
That doesn’t hold - there could be more police near a group of people who commit the same number of crimes but because there are more police resources, there would be more arrests. There are lots of reasons this doesn’t hold.
>> saying they're less likely to commit crimes is a speculative inference
It is also undisputed though. We’ve always known illegal immigrants avoid making the kind of trouble that risks run ins with the law (i.e. there are far fewer “safe” crimes for them to commit) because the penalties are deportation.
- TheOperator 6y ago>there could be more police near a group of people who commit the same number of crimes but because there are more police resources, there would be more arrests. There are indeed many factors which would cause the arrest rate to not track the crime rate. Which is why treating the arrest rate as being equivalent to the crime rate is specious.
- CraigJPerry 6y ago>> Which is why treating the arrest rate as being equivalent to the crime rate is specious For genpop, yes, for the specific group of illegal immigrants, no - that subset of the population has far higher penalties and penalties influence behaviour.