I know in many markets (China notably) exact drop rates must be published. But some publishers pull out rather than reveal them to the western markets too. As

I know in many markets (China notably) exact drop rates must be published. But some publishers pull out rather than reveal them to the western markets too. As for an analysis I remember reading this for Genshin Impact which implied the rates are averaged and don't add up to what the publisher says. Anecdotally players say they often hit their mark at around 70 rolls so it's suspected the rates increase over time (and maybe not linearly). The 90th roll is guaranteed and taken into account for the published rates 1.6% rate to get a 5-star reward on a given roll. If all this is true then together this would mean early rolls in a set of 90 are largely dead and you're paying to reach the higher chances. https://www.reddit.com/r/Genshin_Impact/comments/ja7c0b/gacha_rates_listed_in_details_are_wrongmisleading/ https://www.reddit.com/r/Genshin_Impact/comments/ja7c0b/gach... Note: this is fairly old, I stopped playing so it could be outdated. I also didn't check the conclusions.