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How are you arriving at 100M infected by February? The current case count is at around ~15M with ~250,000 cases being reported yesterday. To reach 100M by Febru
by tppiotrowski 6y ago
How are you arriving at 100M infected by February? The current case count is at around ~15M with ~250,000 cases being reported yesterday. To reach 100M by February you would need close to ~2M cases a day for every day between today (Dec 11th) and February 1st.
- ceejayoz 6y agohttps://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/11/26/939365087/government-model-suggests-u-s-covid-19-cases-could-be-approaching-100-million https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/1... > The actual number of coronavirus infections in the U.S. reached nearly 53 million at the end of September and could be approaching 100 million now, according to a model developed by government researchers. > The model, created by scientists at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, calculated that the true number of infections is about eight times the reported number, which includes only the cases confirmed by a laboratory test.
- ummonk 6y agoInfection count is a lot higher than case count. If you divide the number of deaths by an IFR of 1% you get 30 million infected so far, while with an IFR of 0.5% you get 60 million. There are probably half a million infections every day right now, so 100 million by February doesn't seem that far fetched. Though I see no reason to complain about the FDA dragging its feet, given that the bottleneck to vaccinating the populace is manufacturing, not authorization.
- deleted 6y ago[deleted]