3 ms·
> There are potential side effects, these side effects are potentially long term and severely debilitating and despite being a low risk, it's still a higher ris
by Exmoor 6y ago
> There are potential side effects, these side effects are potentially long term and severely debilitating and despite being a low risk, it's still a higher risk for me than experiencing anything terrible from covid.
Your risk perception is way off. Like orders of magnitude off. You're also assuming the risks of catching COVID are known and minor, but the risks of a vaccine are unknown and possibly off.
In reality it's the inverse. We have well over a hundred years of research into how vaccines interact with our bodies, as well as similar knowledge of things like manufacturing safety, injection best-practices, etc. While the exact mechanism of the mRNA vaccines is new to vaccines, it's been studied very closely in tens of thousands of people over several years (there have been several mRNA vaccines in the pipeline, but due to less immediate advantages their approval is slower going). It's mechanism is new for vaccines, but well understood.
COVID on the other hand is a virus where some of the immediate, worst effects are known and feel safer. But that's completely not true. The immediate effects we know are very dangerous (As a 39yr old male, I stand a 1/2000 chance of dying if I get the disease) and you're not factoring the risk of unknown long-term effects, which are unknown. It's entirely possible that damage done from the virus could have long-term hidden consequences that we won't know for many years.
So then you're left with your risk of catching the virus. Of course, this varies greatly based on behavior and region. You may feel safe, and you may indeed be relatively so, but of the hundreds of thousands of people who found out they tested positive today I'm willing to bet a good chunk of them felt just as safe as you.
- grawprog 6y ago>I'm willing to bet a good chunk of them felt just as safe as you. Except, I don't care if I test postive or not. If I get sick enough i'll go to the hospital i'll deal with it the same as I would any other disease that puts me in the hosptial. Until then, i'll keep doing what i've doing wearing a mask when I need to and respectfully maintaining distance from people.
- sansnom 6y agoThe 1/2000 could be valid for your age group (we will need to check the real number of people who caught it be sure of the IFR) but is not necessary accurate for you (could be more or less). In France, in Marseilles, they studied all people who died from covid in the hopsital during the first episode. They calculated the Charlson score for each patient. What they found is that very large majority of people who died have a low life expectancy and all expect 2 patients have one or more co-morbidities (cancer, diabetes, etc). So if you are healthy then you real risk is below the average of the same age group.