Yes, the death toll for the first ten months of 2020 vs first ten months of 2019 is +388K, so unless there's about 200K less deaths than expected in each of Nov

Yes, the death toll for the first ten months of 2020 vs first ten months of 2019 is +388K, so unless there's about 200K less deaths than expected in each of Nov and Dec we'll be well above edit: and since over 200K people die in the US every month during an average year, that is not particularly likely, to say the least data from here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm