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It doesn't work like that, at least not for me. My perceived chances of winning first prize of a £1000 laptop is always going to be less than 1 in 10,000. I as
by mooism2 15y ago
It doesn't work like that, at least not for me. My perceived chances of winning first prize of a £1000 laptop is always going to be less than 1 in 10,000.
I assume the competition promoter is making a profit out of it somehow.
- triviatise 15y agoeven if the probability is published?
- mooism2 15y agoThe published probability is conditional on my entry being accepted, and implies there is a fixed number of entries allowed. What are my chances of being one of those lucky people allowed to play? Less than 100%.
- triviatise 15y agowhat if the probability is published and constantly updated and there are simple ways to improve your probability?
- mooism2 15y agoIf there are simple things I can do to improve my chances, there are simple things other people can do to worsen my chances (by improving theirs). Really at this point it isn't primarily a competition any more but has become a game. So make the game play engaging etc.