2 ms·
> * Herd immunity is going to be reached before everybody catches it, no matter what* That’s only true for a very slow-moving epidemic. For a fast mover, like
by jhayward 6y ago
> * Herd immunity is going to be reached before everybody catches it, no matter what*
That’s only true for a very slow-moving epidemic. For a fast mover, like this one, there is always -always- an overshoot of the steady state number needed for “herd immunity” (which, btw, is a term created to describe vaccinated populations, not wild infections).
- jtbayly 6y agoNo. It's true for every epidemic except extremely fast-moving and long-lasting ones. Covid is not that.
- jhayward 6y agoPublic health and epidemiology professionals say otherwise. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/01/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-herd-immunity.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/01/opinion/sunday/coronaviru...
- jtbayly 6y agoThat article literally shows less than 100% of people getting Covid.