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> I often find the latter more compelling than the former. We might find one compelling, but what matters is which is more accurate (or maybe neither of them a
by jamesrcole 6y ago
> I often find the latter more compelling than the former.
We might find one compelling, but what matters is which is more accurate (or maybe neither of them are).
- powersnail 6y agoNeither is that compelling; otherwise there wouldn't be a bet. Rees basically said, I bet this is going to happen before 2020 ends, because my gut said so. Pinker multiplied a bunch of statistical principals without a number. I really don't understand how to reach a conclusion based on his line of reasoning. At least the gut feeling of an expert is somewhat a reasonable point.
- deleted 6y ago[deleted]