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It's a test flight. Musk gave only a 1/3 chance of mission success before the flight.
by jessriedel 6y ago
It's a test flight. Musk gave only a 1/3 chance of mission success before the flight.
- nikolay 6y agoYes, but a 1/3 success chance doesn't not mean a 2/3 one of an explosion.
- robotresearcher 6y agoAfter engine ignition, isn't it pretty much that success or massive explosion are the only outcomes?
- NikolaeVarius 6y agoNah engines are able to turn off after ignition. Thats what the Raptor safety is. Usually the blow or moment is when it lifts off the tower with one notable exception that I know of. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercury-Redstone_1 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercury-Redstone_1 Technically the Shuttle go or blow moment is when the SRBs are turned on. But yes, otherwise in the spirit, it will either blow up or be generally sucessful.
- aardvarkr 6y agoSo you’re saying that if the engines had been off the starship wouldn’t have exploded? Try again bud. That’s still an object full of compressed methane and liquid oxygen falling at terminal velocity.
- NikolaeVarius 6y agoThis is such a straw man that I don't even know where to begin to answer.
- valuearb 6y agoSo you are admitting that what Musk meant was they had a 2/3s chance of an explosion.