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That supposes that we've reached the flattening upper section of the S-curve of technology, right about now. There's nothing that suggests that. Various techs d
by rtsil 6y ago
That supposes that we've reached the flattening upper section of the S-curve of technology, right about now. There's nothing that suggests that. Various techs do reach that stage periodically, but nothing indicates that technology in general does, quite the contrary.
And what the past sees as hard often becomes less hard (I'm not going to say easy, because technology is never easy) in the future thanks to the accumulation of knowledge and increased speed of processing data.
- ntsplnkv2 6y agoThe s-curve of technology is not meant to be applied to universal technological improvements in a civilization. It just doesn't work. > And what the past sees as hard often becomes less hard (I'm not going to say easy, because technology is never easy) in the future thanks to the accumulation of knowledge and increased speed of processing data. It doesn't matter how fast you process data if you can't physically alter the scenario. No amount of data can make the carnot cycle more efficient or reduce entropy. I'm sure the Romans thought Europe would never enter the dark ages too.