5 ms·
I think the logic is that the scaling up manufacturing is already occurring in parallel, so it isn’t as simple as an N day delay causing N days worth of deaths.
by senkora 6y ago
I think the logic is that the scaling up manufacturing is already occurring in parallel, so it isn’t as simple as an N day delay causing N days worth of deaths.
The excess deaths would be N times the (small) fraction of daily deaths that would be prevented by the initial (small) use of vaccines.
I don’t know how true this is because I don’t know what the situation is with vaccine stockpiles, which could change the analysis.
- db48x 6y agoExactly. I bet the Gantt chart for this is pretty big and complicated, with lots of work by multiple groups going on simultaneously. I bet the work started a year ago, doing things like deciding which other manufacturing activities they would halt or slow if they had a viable vaccine, or if they would open new manufacturing facilities. I just hope that they didn't waste too much time making Gantt charts.