4 ms·
There was no spike in deaths in November in Sweden: https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps Weekly snapshots are too vo
by IronRanger 6y ago
There was no spike in deaths in November in Sweden: https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps
Weekly snapshots are too volatile. If everyone who was going to die in March dies in the first week of March, but none die in the remaining three weeks, this will show a death spike whilst the number of monthly deaths is unchanged. If someone at the end of their natural lifespan dies a few weeks earlier or later than usual, this is not a national concern.
2019 was a weak flu season.
We need to examine this data across broader time scales to avoid the hysteria we are currently experiencing.
- PaulDavisThe1st 6y agoThat claim about deaths in November in Sweden is not supported by the data collected by Johns Hopkins. Kevin Drum puts together a daily chart showing 7 day rolling averages deaths-per-million attributable to COVID19. Here's a recent one: https://www.motherjones.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/blog_covid19_country_comparison_december_03_deaths.gif https://www.motherjones.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/blog_... from: https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2020/12/coronavirus-growth-in-western-countries-december-3-update/ https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2020/12/coronavirus-g...
- pwinnski 6y agoThis is incorrect, as another response shows. One elderly person dying a month or two early is generally not a national concern. Many people dying months or years early generally is.