4 ms·

I'm very confounded by the "Excess mortality by age group" data in the US. It _appears_ as if the mortality increase is _almost the same for all age groups_, es

I'm very confounded by the "Excess mortality by age group" data in the US. It _appears_ as if the mortality increase is _almost the same for all age groups_, especially at the beginning and after the initial hump. 15-64 yr olds had a 32% higher chance of dying at the hump and stayed above 11% for most of the year. Wow. All the previous findings were that COVID is _extremely unlikely_ to kill you if you are under 50, and pretty unlikely-ish under 70 -- so where are these deaths coming from?

JPKab 6y ago
I can't answer your question, but I do happen to know that there has been a large increase in drug overdoses and suicides according to the data I've seen for a specific region I was looking at recently. No idea if it's a national trend.
melolife 6y ago
It's proportional. The excess mortality increases by ~10% across the board but the base mortality rate for younger demographics is much lower.
deleted 6y ago
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mytechtoday 6y ago
The excess mortality in the United States doesn't make any sense at all. I followed the link to the article that contained the data regarding the United States, however it was an article that only dealt with the Eurozone and made no mention of "us" "united" "the united states" "America" or "usa" anywhere in the article, so I'm not really sure what evidence supports their claims about the USA?
JoeData 6y ago
I made this table: https://imgur.com/PZqKWk2 https://imgur.com/PZqKWk2 It shows the point melolife made, that the percent excess (excess deaths as percent of expected) can be high, but the expected number is fairly low, so the total number of deaths is still relatively small. The data is from November 9, so not up to date.
DanBC 6y ago
> All the previous findings were that That was first wave data. Second wave data has shown that the risk for younger people is higher than we thought. I don't think this explains all that increase though.
gpderetta 6y ago
As early as Spring last year, mortality increase was estimated to be about the same for all age groups.

JPKab 6y ago

I can't answer your question, but I do happen to know that there has been a large increase in drug overdoses and suicides according to the data I've seen for a specific region I was looking at recently. No idea if it's a national trend.

melolife 6y ago

It's proportional. The excess mortality increases by ~10% across the board but the base mortality rate for younger demographics is much lower.

deleted 6y ago

[deleted]

mytechtoday 6y ago

The excess mortality in the United States doesn't make any sense at all. I followed the link to the article that contained the data regarding the United States, however it was an article that only dealt with the Eurozone and made no mention of "us" "united" "the united states" "America" or "usa" anywhere in the article, so I'm not really sure what evidence supports their claims about the USA?

JoeData 6y ago

I made this table: https://imgur.com/PZqKWk2 https://imgur.com/PZqKWk2 It shows the point melolife made, that the percent excess (excess deaths as percent of expected) can be high, but the expected number is fairly low, so the total number of deaths is still relatively small. The data is from November 9, so not up to date.

DanBC 6y ago

> All the previous findings were that That was first wave data. Second wave data has shown that the risk for younger people is higher than we thought. I don't think this explains all that increase though.

gpderetta 6y ago

As early as Spring last year, mortality increase was estimated to be about the same for all age groups.