> Specifically, if you take 10 million people and just wave your hand back and forth over their upper arms, in the next two months you would expect to see about

> Specifically, if you take 10 million people and just wave your hand back and forth over their upper arms, in the next two months you would expect to see about 4,000 heart attacks. About 4,000 strokes. Over 9,000 new diagnoses of cancer. And about 14,000 of that ten million will die, out of usual all-causes mortality. No one would notice. That’s now many people die and get sick anyway. It will arguably be much worse than this initially because the the second group to get the vaccine, after health care workers, are likely going to be folks in nursing homes who would be expected to have much higher incidences of serious medical issues or death normally.