4 ms·

Well, how many follow the law? That's a pretty big problem. If you replace a big party with 100 people, with ten smaller parties with ten people, you probably e

• cr1895 6y ago
  >If you replace a big party with 100 people, with ten smaller parties with ten people, you probably end with a similar amount of infections I don't think that is a correct conclusion. It doesn't behave linearly. "We can think of disease patterns as leaning deterministic or stochastic: In the former, an outbreak’s distribution is more linear and predictable; in the latter, randomness plays a much larger role and predictions are hard, if not impossible, to make. In deterministic trajectories, we expect what happened yesterday to give us a good sense of what to expect tomorrow. Stochastic phenomena, however, don’t operate like that—the same inputs don’t always produce the same outputs, and things can tip over quickly from one state to the other." https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/ https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overloo...
• andybak 6y ago
  That's incorrect as far as any modelling I've seen.
• rimliu 6y ago
  Most do. There are substantial fines, if you do not obey. Also, when everything is closed there is not much you can do anyway. The problem is that our institution which was supposed to do contact tracing is a mess and totally unprepared for the amount of work required. So contact may not get notified at all or notified with a 7-10 days lag.