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> US GDP is declining as a share of world GDP. That's pretty much because of china. Take china out of the equation and everything looks "normal". > The fact t
by disown 6y ago
> US GDP is declining as a share of world GDP.
That's pretty much because of china. Take china out of the equation and everything looks "normal".
> The fact that the US has had an outlier position in terms of Geopolitical influence for the last half century is not a guarantee of this being true in the future.
That's true. But we will be calling the shots in the western hemisphere for a very very long time. Monroe Doctrine was established 200 years ago. It's a safe bet that it'll be going strong in 2120. Maybe our influence in east asia will wane as china rises, but definitely not in the western hemisphere and europe. China's rise may even make our influence grow in europe, south america, etc. Who else do they have to turn to?
- piva00 6y agoIt all depends on how politics will play out in the next 20 years in the US. If you keep electing GWBs and Trumps intersped with some more progressive governments you will fall out of grace with most of the West, there is no way that nations trying to progress will keep being impeded by a volatile ally. Trust has already been eroding since 9/11, it was accelerated under Trump, the next couple of decades might decide if the US can regain some influence or if it will be treated as a untrustworthy ally. It's been really hard to justify supporting the US lately.