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> No, there's a very noticeable drop in social mobility as well in mid-July according to: https://covid19.apple.com/mobility https://covid19.apple.com/mobility
by flukus 6y ago
> No, there's a very noticeable drop in social mobility as well in mid-July according to: https://covid19.apple.com/mobility https://covid19.apple.com/mobility
That is when stage 3 of the lockdown started and everyone had to work from home, the next big decline was when stage 4 started and more people had to work from home or not at all. This did have a larger effect as the source I posted indicated. This reduced the reproduction rate to about 1.1 and plateaued at that level, weeks later masks were introduced bringing it under 1.
> Yet you are arguing that masks - in isolation - are so good that it's a no-brainer to mandate them?
I'm arguing no such thing, the source I posted indicated that masks would at best slow down the spread of the virus without other measures. That doesn't mean they don't work.
> Also, if you introduce a mask mandate, people will obviously change their behaviour, they won't just go on and live their lives exactly as before, but with a mask on. Therefore, mask mandates might reduce the spread not because of the masks themselves, but because they cause people to behave differently.
This is irrelevant. It doesn't matter how they work, as long as they work. The only question that needs to be answered is "do masks reduce the spread of this virus?" Directly or indirectly doesn't matter.
Factors like this are a great indication of why real world data trumps controlled studies though, you wouldn't see these effects in controlled studies.
Unfortunately I'll have to leave the conversation here because the anti-masker and anti-data crowd on HN have down voted enough to rate limit me.
- henrikschroder 6y ago> The only question that needs to be answered is "do masks reduce the spread of this virus?" A mask mandate means that police can now force you to wear a mask in various situations, with fines and possibly jail time if you do not comply. For such a drastic measure, we need a lot more evidence that masks are a net positive, and such a large net positive that it warrants such a strong measure of violence. "It can't hurt" is absolutely not enough evidence. "They probably do" is absolutely not enough evidence. Your correlations are absolutely not evidence at all. It's perfectly fine to recommend them, encourage them, or do information campaigns about them. Let people make their own informed choices. And if you think masks are fantastic, and that people who aren't wearing them are assholes, stay away from those people then! It's so simple.