I use "hot take" to mean someone is stating an opinion (there is not enough evidence so this is an opinion at best), that they're stating it with probably more

I use "hot take" to mean someone is stating an opinion (there is not enough evidence so this is an opinion at best), that they're stating it with probably more intensity/confidence than it deserves, and that you'd expect the opinion to be controversial. In this case, by "that doesn't seem like a hot take to me" I mean that as far as opinions go this seems pretty uncontroversial.