3 ms·
> "I wonder if there’s a similar effect in the antivax movement – autism seems to really be on the rise (0.7 to 1.5% in this century)." > CDC is reporting that
by weaksauce 6y ago
> "I wonder if there’s a similar effect in the antivax movement – autism seems to really be on the rise (0.7 to 1.5% in this century)."
> CDC is reporting that Autism has increased MUCH MUCH more than this. By their own reporting standards it was 1 in 150 in 2000, to 1 in 68 by 2010 (https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/autism/images/autism_data_graphic https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/autism/images/autism_data_graphic...) and the exponential increase has continued.
What do you think 1/150 and 1/68 translates to? now ask yourself if you are that wrong about a fundamental condition of your argument what else could you be mistaken on?
- zackees 6y ago> What do you think 1/150 and 1/68 translates to? It translates into the increase in ONE DECADE. Now go read the claim by the author: that this increase happened in ONE CENTURY.
- cfmcdonald 6y agoYou do realize that this century started only 20 years ago?
- zackees 6y agoEven in this interpretation (you are being very generous) he's off by a huge margin. The the rise of autism follows an exponential curve.
- cfmcdonald 6y agoI don't think I'm being generous, "this century" unambiguously means the current century starting from year 1 (19th, 20th, 21st) not the previous 100 years. See for example the usage in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/21st_century https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/21st_century