I don't know, there's no paper, it's just powerpoint slides. I have previously poked around NYC-area death statistics and it looks like 1) a massive spike in d

I don't know, there's no paper, it's just powerpoint slides. I have previously poked around NYC-area death statistics and it looks like 1) a massive spike in deaths by any cause that looks like several 9/11s followed by 2) a regression to the usual rate of deaths once COVID was largely brought to heel in the summer months. I can't imagine that the total number of deaths in NYC this year could possibly be the same as in 2019. But I'm not an expert. Ed: glancing over the CDC statistics, when COVID-attributed deaths go up, all-cause mortality goes up, too... by approximately the same amount. If a large proportion of those COVID deaths were mislabeled heart disease deaths, why is that? I made these graphs with the same CDC data: https://imgur.com/a/YejafCE https://imgur.com/a/YejafCE And of course, there's the CDC's own dashboard on excess deaths, which lets you slice this more finely. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm