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The author of the black swan book explained that the covid pandemic was not what he meant by a black swan event. Because it was not something entirely unpredict

The author of the black swan book explained that the covid pandemic was not what he meant by a black swan event. Because it was not something entirely unpredictable.. if we look back, we have been talking about pandemics for decades.

makapuf 6y ago
Maybe, but I fail to see how this relates to Linux kernel (wrong thread, I suppose)
- kzrdude 6y ago
  Fourth paragraph of the article brings it up.
throw0101a 6y ago
> Because it was not something entirely unpredictable.. To the point that as part of the Obama-Trump transition, a literal playbook was created for pandemics, with Coronaviruses (MERS-COV, SARS) explicitly mentioned: * https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/6819268/Pandemic-Playbook.pdf https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/6819268/Pandemic-... They had tabletop exercise on pandemics: * https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/16/trump-inauguration-warning-scenario-pandemic-132797 https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/16/trump-inauguration-...
- rbanffy 6y ago
  That someone would completely disband the team and then ignore the knowledge acquired was kind of unpredictable. I mean, what kind of person would do that?!
  - throw0101a 6y ago
    People who see government not as a way to (hopefully) better society through good implementations of good policies, but rather see government as source of power to wield for their own benefit. > Friends of the government win state contracts at high prices and borrow on easy terms from the central bank. Those on the inside grow rich by favoritism; those on the outside suffer from the general deterioration of the economy. As one shrewd observer told me on a recent visit [to Hungary], “The benefit of controlling a modern state is less the power to persecute the innocent, more the power to protect the guilty.” * https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/03/how-to-build-an-autocracy/513872/ https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/03/how-to-... * https://archive.is/ZIzCm https://archive.is/ZIzCm

makapuf 6y ago

Maybe, but I fail to see how this relates to Linux kernel (wrong thread, I suppose)

kzrdude 6y ago
Fourth paragraph of the article brings it up.

throw0101a 6y ago

> Because it was not something entirely unpredictable.. To the point that as part of the Obama-Trump transition, a literal playbook was created for pandemics, with Coronaviruses (MERS-COV, SARS) explicitly mentioned: * https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/6819268/Pandemic-Playbook.pdf https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/6819268/Pandemic-... They had tabletop exercise on pandemics: * https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/16/trump-inauguration-warning-scenario-pandemic-132797 https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/16/trump-inauguration-...

rbanffy 6y ago
That someone would completely disband the team and then ignore the knowledge acquired was kind of unpredictable. I mean, what kind of person would do that?!
- throw0101a 6y ago
  People who see government not as a way to (hopefully) better society through good implementations of good policies, but rather see government as source of power to wield for their own benefit. > Friends of the government win state contracts at high prices and borrow on easy terms from the central bank. Those on the inside grow rich by favoritism; those on the outside suffer from the general deterioration of the economy. As one shrewd observer told me on a recent visit [to Hungary], “The benefit of controlling a modern state is less the power to persecute the innocent, more the power to protect the guilty.” * https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/03/how-to-build-an-autocracy/513872/ https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/03/how-to-... * https://archive.is/ZIzCm https://archive.is/ZIzCm