It might be noise; I wouldn't try to publish these results in an academic journal, but I'd keep digging. The title uses the word 'superforecasters', which make

It might be noise; I wouldn't try to publish these results in an academic journal, but I'd keep digging. The title uses the word 'superforecasters', which makes me think the author has read some of Philip Tetlock's work, and is trying to apply it to their situation, which I find admirable.