5 ms·
Precisely. Something taking astoundingly long to evolve isn't conclusive evidence that it's highly improbable (although it might suggest it). It could very well
by hnracer 6y ago
Precisely. Something taking astoundingly long to evolve isn't conclusive evidence that it's highly improbable (although it might suggest it). It could very well be highly probable. One reason is as you mention is prerequisites. Another reason could be that the solution is deep in the search tree, and while it takes ages to find it, the search algorithm will eventually do so. Consider a global optimizer running on a concave surface for a long period of time, all it needs is time.
- hnracer 6y agoJust realized that the eye is a counterexample to their assumption. Took three billion years to evolve but is easy to do so as we've seen it evolve independently many times.