I would sort of agree. I think that the tenure process creates a lot of weird incentives. That being said, I think another part of the system that is at least a

I would sort of agree. I think that the tenure process creates a lot of weird incentives. That being said, I think another part of the system that is at least as important to fix is admissions. Right now we're admitting people to PhD programs that we know the system can't absorb. Those same people go on as postdocs, and it's not really until the faculty stage where people get filtered out. One of the reasons I left academia after my PhD was that I didn't want to have to wait another ~10 years to know whether or not I had a job. If the PhD -> Postdoc transition had been a strong indicator of future success, I might have stayed in the system, but as it's currently structured there's very little information gain in getting a postdoc.