It's likely that the majority of people on HN are not going to be early adopters, and that other groups will get the jab first. It depends what's more effectiv

It's likely that the majority of people on HN are not going to be early adopters, and that other groups will get the jab first. It depends what's more effective, as these groups are all different: do you jab first those who can most easily spread it, those who would most easily get it, those who would most severely be impacted if they got it, or do you jab those who are most diligent, enthusiastic and first in the queue? I'd even wager that most healthy adults around the world will not be getting the vaccine (but that might be a negative story to run with) but that's at less odds than just healthy, enthusiastic, low risk people getting the jab first.