> it can help understand what's happening or what is going to happen. This is hopelessly naive, imho. The information asymmetry is off the charts, and a ration

> it can help understand what's happening or what is going to happen. This is hopelessly naive, imho. The information asymmetry is off the charts, and a rational "analyst/reader" (the role you want to play) of geopolitics should be aware of this fact, and its implications. You simply have no idea what is really going on. You don't have the data and it is naive to assume what is printed in a handful of outlets by an equally limited number of promoted authors are the "geopolitical facts". So, yes geopolitics certainly "matter" but that was not the point.