4 ms·
It is most definitely not a posterior probability, but it’s always hard to tersely write out which process you’re describing in plain English and no formalism.
by 6gvONxR4sf7o 6y ago
It is most definitely not a posterior probability, but it’s always hard to tersely write out which process you’re describing in plain English and no formalism. All the probabilities I mention are probabilities in the sense of a CI. And I’m too lazy to write it out thoroughly.
This paper describes the situation more thoroughly
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.691.5256&rep=rep1&type=pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.691...
- tpoacher 6y agoMy main objection was regarding the iffy sentence that "the probability that i(D) contains m is x%", as opposed to, say, you would expect "x% of those randomly generated intervals to contain m". But, fair enough, I appreciate your sentiment about 'terseness'. One can only be so nitpicky with words when trying to communicate, before starting to sound like a criminal defense lawyer ...