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>I hope so, but the more I read about cults and mind-control the less I believe we'll have a good outcome. The real crazies are a (regrettably) loud minority.
by aphextron 6y ago
>I hope so, but the more I read about cults and mind-control the less I believe we'll have a good outcome.
The real crazies are a (regrettably) loud minority. We only need around a 75% vaccination rate with a 95% effective vaccine to get to herd immunity. I've no worries at all we'll be there by the end of summer.
- AnimalMuppet 6y agoThat seems high to me. If R0 is 2, shouldn't a 50% vaccination rate (with 100% effectiveness) get you to an effective R0 of 1?
- mandelbrotwurst 6y agoNo, because people engage in riskier behavior when they start to feel safer, driving up R0.
- sieabahlpark 6y agoI guess that's a risk for those willing to make it
- retox 6y agoBy riskier you mean normal.
- bobthepanda 6y agoWell, we’ve been restricted for so long I would expect a portion of the population to be much more out and about than they were even pre-COVID as a sort of overcorrection.
- derekp7 6y agoOn the other hand, a number of people have gotten so used to the lock down and risk aversion protocols, it may be a long time before they feel comfortable letting anyone else in their personal space.
- mandelbrotwurst 6y agoIt may or may not also be more "normal" as you put it, but that's not at all relevant to what we're discussing here.