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Here's the actual study. https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817 https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817 The intervention being tested was m
by frumiousirc 6y ago
Here's the actual study.
https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817 https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817
The intervention being tested was merely how a RECOMMENDATION to wear a mask (and other advice and a pack of 50 surgical masks) may affect infection rates.
Of the mask wearers, and based on asking them and accepting their answers as truthful, 46% wore the mask as recommended, 47% "predominantly" as recommended, 7% not as recommended. The 7% were excluded from the results.
The infection in the area at the time was 2%. This gives relatively fewer chances for the efficacy of masks to be tested and so it is not surprising that the results are inconclusive. The benefit masks bring in this case is keeping the infection rate low and only actively do their job during the relatively rare times when an infected individual is near a healthy one.
The low infection rate also leads to an inflation of any systematic differences between the two samples. A very small difference applied to the expected 98% healthy subsample can lead to a strong contribution to the the 2% infected subsample. For example, mask wearing at the home was not covered and a few reported covid infections at the home.
Testing in places where infection rates are higher would have a better chance to show an effect. Of course that would be stymied by sample bias (if "random" self-selection of mask-wearers and anti-mask idiots were allowed in the procedures) or it would be faced with unethical practice of forcibly withholding masks from individuals in a non-mask sample.
My personal conclusion is that these results are not conclusive but will be hugely appropriated for whatever sick fantasy the outgoing US administration is orchestrating.
- mvcalder 6y agoI did not read the article so maybe this was answered. But if the study was to see the effect of the recommendation + small supply of masks, I don't see why the non-compliant 7% would be censored. In one ear and out the other is one possible recommendation outcome.
- belorn 6y agoThe recommendation here in Sweden, who has a similar infection rate to Denmark, is to use mask in places where the infection rate is high and no general recommendation for places with low infection rate. The reason for that is basically identical to what you wrote. Studies done in low infection areas give relatively fewer chances for the efficacy of masks to be tested, resulting in inconclusive data. Data from high infection rate areas is more conclusive and thus the recommendation is to use mask there where the data shows a conclusive result.