2 ms·
You can do the math, take the GA Tech prevalence data and combine it with the false negative rate (has covid, tests negative). If you want to go further, consi
by sjg007 6y ago
You can do the math, take the GA Tech prevalence data and combine it with the false negative rate (has covid, tests negative).
If you want to go further, consider the time you will spend together in an indoor environment mask-less. I think there are some estimates of indoor transmission probabilities per time of exposure to a positive case.
Bear in mind the average 5-8 day incubation period so even if you test the day before you are still almost a week behind in exposures.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/08/20/covid-19-test-accuracy-supplement-the-math-of-bayes-theorem/ https://www.statnews.com/2020/08/20/covid-19-test-accuracy-s...
- chadash 6y agoVery hard to estimate false negative rate for a group given that the false negative rate itself is fluctuates considerably based on when you get the test. False negatives are very high the day before symptoms and go down dramatically at the third day after symptoms (which is the best day to get tested).
- sjg007 6y agoYep this is basically why people need to not gather.