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I disagree. Batteries are very expensive and ultimately consumable parts. I do not see them lasting 30 years. Consider also it’s unusual for people to own cars
by djmobley 6y ago
I disagree. Batteries are very expensive and ultimately consumable parts. I do not see them lasting 30 years.
Consider also it’s unusual for people to own cars for even 10+ years currently, for reasons that apply just as readily to electric or autonomous vehicles.
People want the latest and greatest. Many value the warranties they get with new vehicles. Over 30 years the odds of a vehicle being stolen or involved in an accident and being written off are also pretty high.
- Gibbon1 6y ago> I do not see them lasting 30 years. High mileage Tesla's show that the batteries last somewhere between 300,000 and 500,000 miles. Which is 25 to 40 years based on the median number of miles people drive per year. > People want the latest and greatest. Lot of people just want an affordable way to get from point A to B with a minimum of hassle and expense. The game changer with electric is if the batteries and motors last 25 to 40 years then the rest of the car needs to match that.
- pandaman 6y agoI am not sure how you converted mileage to time here. Dividing a distance by speed would only works in assumption that the battery does not degrade over time by itself. Is there any working 25 years old Li-ion battery somewhere?
- Gibbon1 6y agoI've messed with some 20 year old lion cells. They work okay.