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> What ends up happening is that people on these sites don't get any value from betting on events that are 90%+ likely. Sure they do. Even if you never reinve
by YokoZar 6y ago
> What ends up happening is that people on these sites don't get any value from betting on events that are 90%+ likely.
Sure they do. Even if you never reinvest your money and pay the entire withdrawal fee, it's still worth betting on a sure-thing when PredictIt is selling you dollars for 92 cents.
This profitability threshold keeps increasing the more you're willing to stay on the site and let the money ride - a bettor on PredictIt can consistently get minor returns just betting on events that have essentially already happened.
The $850 cap per market and research required make it a bit of a tedious endeavor, however, which is why there's still pennies to pick up so often.