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“Hawking's rationale was that humankind would eventually fall victim to an extinction-level catastrophe - perhaps sooner rather than later. What worried him wer
by randmeerkat 6y ago
“Hawking's rationale was that humankind would eventually fall victim to an extinction-level catastrophe - perhaps sooner rather than later. What worried him were so-called low-probability, high impact events - a large asteroid striking our planet is the classic example. But Hawking perceived a host of other potential threats: artificial intelligence, climate change, GM viruses and nuclear war to name a few.
In 2016, he told the BBC: "Although the chance of a disaster to planet Earth in a given year may be quite low, it adds up over time, and becomes a near certainty in the next thousand or 10,000 years.”
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-43408961 http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-43408961
The problem with deterrence is that it works until it doesn’t.
- GreenWatermelon 6y agoYeah, and without deterrence it will be a 100% chance of a variable hell of endless wars and tens of millions of casualties. I'll bet on no one wanting their country obliterated by agitating another nuclear power.
- door99 6y ago> Yeah, and without deterrence it will be a 100% chance of a variable hell of endless wars and tens of millions of casualties. There are political choices other than "constantly threaten extinction" and "constantly fight large-scale conventional wars".