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Iowa, Texas, and Ohio weren't close and polls had them there. Those were all about 5% off. I don't know how many states end up that far off in typical elections

Iowa, Texas, and Ohio weren't close and polls had them there. Those were all about 5% off. I don't know how many states end up that far off in typical elections. Maybe Ohio ends up closer, once counting is done there. (I wasn't surprised by those results and the campaigns didn't act like they were close, so.) Double checking my memory, I see Maine 2 was way off! Not gonna get too worried about that. That one's hard. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-werent-great-but-thats-pretty-normal/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-werent-great-...

slg 6y ago
Fair point about those three states. They were often ignored because if they went for Biden it meant there was a huge landslide in his favor. If you click through one of those links in that linked article you get to this[1] article from 2018 that lists the average polling error at 5.9%. Maybe it is just people have unrealistic expectations for these things any miss beyond a point or two is going to be dubbed as "THE POLLS ARE WRONG!". [1] - https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-are-all-right/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-are-all-right...