3 ms·
In addition to just using Brier scores (or alternatives) to evaluate their performance, I'm also interested in seeing how 538's underlying Monte Carlo models sh
by noxvilleza 6y ago
In addition to just using Brier scores (or alternatives) to evaluate their performance, I'm also interested in seeing how 538's underlying Monte Carlo models shift based on x% of error/uncertainty? (for example instead of evaluating a polling advantage as a single value K within a single simulation rather consider it a normally distributed variable).