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Note that predictit gives Biden an 89% chance of winning the electoral college now and Trump 14% (why do the numbers never add up to 100% ?) . The election was
by julienchastang 6y ago
Note that predictit gives Biden an 89% chance of winning the electoral college now and Trump 14% (why do the numbers never add up to 100% ?) . The election was two weeks ago. Moreover, I think the author is cherry-picking his data. Nevertheless, I did use predictit during the election as a kind of "nowcast".