I've looked into these states and its really hard to get a good idea how close we are. There are easy solutions to quickly expanding ICU beds: 1) moving patie

I've looked into these states and its really hard to get a good idea how close we are. There are easy solutions to quickly expanding ICU beds: 1) moving patients who don't need to be in ICU back to the regular wards. Hospitals tend to have a "use it or lose it" view of ICU beds. 2) you can turn regulars ward beds into ICU beds fairly quickly. The limiting factor is essentially the doctors/nurses/staff. They are able to squeeze more space by forcing doctors/nurses/staff to work longer hours. But you can't shift radiology doctors/nurses to ICU since they aren't qualified. We'll know things are bad when there is a call for doctors from less hard areas to fly to the infected areas. Long story short, its hard to know as layperson what % is bad, so we should just listen to the experts.